Chapter
1: THE NATURE OF SCIENCE
Over the course of human history,
people have developed many interconnected and validated ideas about the
physical, biological, psychological, and social worlds. Those ideas have
enabled successive generations to achieve an increasingly comprehensive and
reliable understanding of the human species and its environment. The means used
to develop these ideas are particular ways of observing, thinking,
experimenting, and validating. These ways represent a fundamental aspect of the
nature of science and reflect how science tends to differ from other modes of
knowing.
It is the union of science,
mathematics, and technology that forms the scientific endeavor and that makes
it so successful. Although each of these human enterprises has a character and
history of its own, each is dependent on and reinforces the others.
Accordingly, the first three chapters of recommendations draw portraits of
science, mathematics, and technology that emphasize their roles in the
scientific endeavor and reveal some of the similarities and connections among
them.
This chapter lays out
recommendations for what knowledge of the way science works is requisite for
scientific literacy. The chapter focuses on three principal subjects: the
scientific world view, scientific methods of inquiry, and the nature of the
scientific enterprise. Chapters 2 and 3 consider ways in which mathematics and
technology differ from science in general. Chapters 4 through 9 present views
of the world as depicted by current science; Chapter 10, Historical
Perspectives, covers key episodes in the development of science; and Chapter
11, Common Themes, pulls together ideas that cut across all these views of the
world.
Scientists share certain basic
beliefs and attitudes about what they do and how they view their work. These
have to do with the nature of the world and what can be learned about it.
Science presumes that the things and
events in the universe occur in consistent patterns that are comprehensible
through careful, systematic study. Scientists believe that through the use of
the intellect, and with the aid of instruments that extend the senses, people
can discover patterns in all of nature.
Science also assumes that the
universe is, as its name implies, a vast single system in which the basic rules
are everywhere the same. Knowledge gained from studying one part of the
universe is applicable to other parts. For instance, the same principles of
motion and gravitation that explain the motion of falling objects on the
surface of the earth also explain the motion of the moon and the planets. With
some modifications over the years, the same principles of motion have applied
to other forces—and to the motion of everything, from the smallest nuclear
particles to the most massive stars, from sailboats to space vehicles, from
bullets to light rays.
Science is a process for producing
knowledge. The process depends both on making careful observations of phenomena
and on inventing theories for making sense out of those observations. Change in
knowledge is inevitable because new observations may challenge prevailing theories.
No matter how well one theory explains a set of observations, it is possible
that another theory may fit just as well or better, or may fit a still wider
range of observations. In science, the testing and improving and occasional
discarding of theories, whether new or old, go on all the time. Scientists
assume that even if there is no way to secure complete and absolute truth,
increasingly accurate approximations can be made to account for the world and
how it works.
Although scientists reject the
notion of attaining absolute truth and accept some uncertainty as part of
nature, most scientific knowledge is durable. The modification of ideas, rather
than their outright rejection, is the norm in science, as powerful constructs
tend to survive and grow more precise and to become widely accepted. For
example, in formulating the theory of relativity, Albert Einstein did not
discard the Newtonian laws of motion but rather showed them to be only an
approximation of limited application within a more general concept. (The
National Aeronautics and Space Administration uses Newtonian mechanics, for
instance, in calculating satellite trajectories.) Moreover, the growing ability
of scientists to make accurate predictions about natural phenomena provides
convincing evidence that we really are gaining in our understanding of how the
world works. Continuity and stability are as characteristic of science as
change is, and confidence is as prevalent as tentativeness.
There are many matters that cannot
usefully be examined in a scientific way. There are, for instance, beliefs
that—by their very nature—cannot be proved or disproved (such as the existence
of supernatural powers and beings, or the true purposes of life). In other
cases, a scientific approach that may be valid is likely to be rejected as
irrelevant by people who hold to certain beliefs (such as in miracles,
fortune-telling, astrology, and superstition). Nor do scientists have the means
to settle issues concerning good and evil, although they can sometimes
contribute to the discussion of such issues by identifying the likely
consequences of particular actions, which may be helpful in weighing
alternatives.
Fundamentally, the various
scientific disciplines are alike in their reliance on evidence, the use of
hypothesis and theories, the kinds of logic used, and much more. Nevertheless,
scientists differ greatly from one another in what phenomena they investigate
and in how they go about their work; in the reliance they place on historical
data or on experimental findings and on qualitative or quantitative methods; in
their recourse to fundamental principles; and in how much they draw on the
findings of other sciences. Still, the exchange of techniques, information, and
concepts goes on all the time among scientists, and there are common
understandings among them about what constitutes an investigation that is
scientifically valid.
Scientific inquiry is not easily
described apart from the context of particular investigations. There simply is
no fixed set of steps that scientists always follow, no one path that leads
them unerringly to scientific knowledge. There are, however, certain features
of science that give it a distinctive character as a mode of inquiry. Although
those features are especially characteristic of the work of professional
scientists, everyone can exercise them in thinking scientifically about many
matters of interest in everyday life.
Sooner or later, the validity of
scientific claims is settled by referring to observations of phenomena. Hence,
scientists concentrate on getting accurate data. Such evidence is obtained by
observations and measurements taken in situations that range from natural
settings (such as a forest) to completely contrived ones (such as the
laboratory). To make their observations, scientists use their own senses,
instruments (such as microscopes) that enhance those senses, and instruments
that tap characteristics quite different from what humans can sense (such as
magnetic fields). Scientists observe passively (earthquakes, bird migrations),
make collections (rocks, shells), and actively probe the world (as by boring
into the earth's crust or administering experimental medicines).
In some circumstances, scientists
can control conditions deliberately and precisely to obtain their evidence.
They may, for example, control the temperature, change the concentration of
chemicals, or choose which organisms mate with which others. By varying just
one condition at a time, they can hope to identify its exclusive effects on
what happens, uncomplicated by changes in other conditions. Often, however,
control of conditions may be impractical (as in studying stars), or unethical
(as in studying people), or likely to distort the natural phenomena (as in
studying wild animals in captivity). In such cases, observations have to be
made over a sufficiently wide range of naturally occurring conditions to infer
what the influence of various factors might be. Because of this reliance on
evidence, great value is placed on the development of better instruments and
techniques of observation, and the findings of any one investigator or group
are usually checked by others.
Although all sorts of imagination
and thought may be used in coming up with hypotheses and theories, sooner or
later scientific arguments must conform to the principles of logical
reasoning—that is, to testing the validity of arguments by applying certain
criteria of inference, demonstration, and common sense. Scientists may often
disagree about the value of a particular piece of evidence, or about the
appropriateness of particular assumptions that are made—and therefore disagree
about what conclusions are justified. But they tend to agree about the
principles of logical reasoning that connect evidence and assumptions with
conclusions.
Scientists do not work only with
data and well-developed theories. Often, they have only tentative hypotheses
about the way things may be. Such hypotheses are widely used in science for
choosing what data to pay attention to and what additional data to seek, and
for guiding the interpretation of data. In fact, the process of formulating and
testing hypotheses is one of the core activities of scientists. To be useful, a
hypothesis should suggest what evidence would support it and what evidence
would refute it. A hypothesis that cannot in principle be put to the test of
evidence may be interesting, but it is not likely to be scientifically useful.
The use of logic and the close
examination of evidence are necessary but not usually sufficient for the
advancement of science. Scientific concepts do not emerge automatically from
data or from any amount of analysis alone. Inventing hypotheses or theories to
imagine how the world works and then figuring out how they can be put to the
test of reality is as creative as writing poetry, composing music, or designing
skyscrapers. Sometimes discoveries in science are made unexpectedly, even by
accident. But knowledge and creative insight are usually required to recognize
the meaning of the unexpected. Aspects of data that have been ignored by one
scientist may lead to new discoveries by another.
Scientists strive to make sense of
observations of phenomena by constructing explanations for them that use, or
are consistent with, currently accepted scientific principles. Such
explanations—theories—may be either sweeping or restricted, but they must be
logically sound and incorporate a significant body of scientifically valid
observations. The credibility of scientific theories often comes from their
ability to show relationships among phenomena that previously seemed unrelated.
The theory of moving continents, for example, has grown in credibility as it
has shown relationships among such diverse phenomena as earthquakes, volcanoes,
the match between types of fossils on different continents, the shapes of
continents, and the contours of the ocean floors.
The essence of science is validation
by observation. But it is not enough for scientific theories to fit only the
observations that are already known. Theories should also fit additional
observations that were not used in formulating the theories in the first place;
that is, theories should have predictive power. Demonstrating the predictive
power of a theory does not necessarily require the prediction of events in the
future. The predictions may be about evidence from the past that has not yet
been found or studied. A theory about the origins of human beings, for example,
can be tested by new discoveries of human-like fossil remains. This approach is
clearly necessary for reconstructing the events in the history of the earth or
of the life forms on it. It is also necessary for the study of processes that
usually occur very slowly, such as the building of mountains or the aging of
stars. Stars, for example, evolve more slowly than we can usually observe.
Theories of the evolution of stars, however, may predict unsuspected
relationships between features of starlight that can then be sought in existing
collections of data about stars.
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